If you want deeper thoughts on your favorite team, read our
season previews for the Atlantic Division, Northwest
Division, Central Division, Pacific Division, Southeast Division and Southwest Division.
Without further ado, here’s how I see things going this
season.
Individual
Awards
Most Valuable Player: Joel Embiid
(PHI)
Defensive Player of the Year: Bam
Adebayo (MIA)
Rookie of the Year: Paolo Banchero
(ORL)
Sixth Man of the Year: Jordan Poole
(GSW)
Most Improved Player: Precious Achiuwa
(TOR)
Coach of the Year: Ty Lue (LAC)
- This kinda has to be the year for Embiid, no? Back-to-back
second-place finishes set the stage for him to grab one if he
proves healthy. This is arguably the most talented cast he's had
around him. If he's healthy and commits defensively like he said he
wants to, an MVP-DPOY combo isn't out of the question.
- Adebayo is the switch big in the NBA, one of a
handful of players that can legitimately defend all five positions.
Missed games hurt his case last season, but I think the award is
his if he plays 65-plus games.
- Banchero should lead all rookies in scoring — well, unless
Bennedict Mathurin pulls it off. The bucket-getting, plus
playmaking chops, on a team that I think will be better than most
people expect should give him a clear pathway to the award.
- I have a couple of sleepers-that-aren't-sleepers; keep an eye
on Bruce Brown and Brandon Clarke.
Ultimately, Poole should lead all bench players in scoring — and do
so efficiently — while racking up wins on one of the best teams in
the league.
- Lue's been a top-three coach for a while now. Getting a
10-plus win improvement (even if it's health-related) while sorting
out the rotation of a roster with 13 NBA-level talents would be a
pretty strong case.
Team
Awards
ALL-NBA FIRST TEAM: Stephen Curry,
Luka Doncic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jayson Tatum, Joel
Embiid
ALL-NBA SECOND TEAM: Trae Young, Ja
Morant, Paul George, Kevin Durant, Nikola Jokic
ALL-NBA THIRD TEAM: Devin Booker,
Jimmy Butler, Pascal Siakam, LeBron James, Bam Adebayo
ALL-DEFENSIVE FIRST TEAM: Marcus
Smart, Mikal Bridges, Draymond Green, Bam Adebayo, Joel
Embiid
ALL-DEFENSIVE SECOND TEAM: Jrue
Holiday, Herb Jones, Jimmy Butler, Giannis Antetokounmpo,
Rudy Gobert
ALL-ROOKIE FIRST TEAM: Jaden Ivey,
Bennedict Mathurin, Keegan Murray, Jabari Smith, Paolo
Banchero
ALL-ROOKIE SECOND TEAM: Jalen
Williams, Jake LaRavia, Jeremy Sochan, Tari Eason, Jalen
Duren
- For the All-NBA Teams, apologies are due, but
not limited to: Kawhi Leonard (rest days, deep class), Rudy Gobert
(deep class), Karl-Anthony Towns (deep class), Anthony Davis
(injury, deep class), Chris Paul (deep class, likely regression),
Kyrie Irving (deep class), Brandon Ingram (deep class), Zion
Williamson (missed time), Bradley Beal (team record), Jaylen Brown
(deep class) and Anthony Edwards (deep class).
- Until the ballot becomes positionless — or at least until they
give us two backcourt and three frontcourt options like the
All-Star ballot — a center will get screwed. I think Embiid gets
MVP this year, so Jokic falls to the Second Team. They aren't
forwards, and won't be played as forwards. I'm not goin'.
- This will be the Herb Jones year if he's healthy. Should've
been last year, but I'll save that rant for another day. While
we're on second-year players, it wouldn't shock me at all if Evan
Mobley makes serious noise in this regard too.
- The All-Rookie First Team seems pretty straightforward. A
solid mix of talent and opportunity on the board.
- The LaRavia pick might be spicy, especially if the defense
doesn't come along quickly enough. I do think there's enough
shooting and connective playmaking there that he could earn
consistent ticks in Memphis.
Eastern
Conference
TOP SIX
- PHILADELPHIA 76ERS
- BOSTON CELTICS
- MILWAUKEE BUCKS
- MIAMI HEAT
- CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
- TORONTO RAPTORS
- This should be a darn good year for the
Sixers. Talented top-four — I'm really here for this decisive
version of Tobias Harris — and more defensive talent on the
roster.
- I get the depth/age concerns for the Bucks, but, like,
Giannis. Top-10 offense and defense should be in play for them.
- Questions at the 3 aside, the Cavs should be incredibly
annoying to deal with. All that size defensively, then the pull-up
chops on the other end from Darius Garland and Donovan Mitchell?
Whew.
PLAY-IN TERRITORY
- BROOKLYN NETS
- ATLANTA HAWKS
- CHICAGO BULLS
- NEW YORK KNICKS
- Seventh feels right for Brooklyn considering the strength of
the conference and the early absences of Joe Harris and Seth Curry.
I must say, though, I like what they're establishing scheme-wise. A
top-four seed wouldn't surprise me at all.
THE REST
- ORLANDO MAGIC
- WASHINGTON WIZARDS
- DETROIT PISTONS
- CHARLOTTE HORNETS
- INDIANA PACERS
- I'm prepared to take my L, but I'm high on the Magic this
year. There's so much skilled size on the roster. The defense
should be solid, and there's enough playmaking and shot creation to
make things interesting offensively.
- Already making a change from the Southeast Division preview pod;
I think the Hornets will be worse than the Wizards. Post-pod, I
felt I was too harsh on Washington. Since then, we've gotten a
LaMelo Ball ankle turn and a James Bouknight arrest, and we've
still heard nothing on the Miles Bridges front (he shouldn't be
there). They're closer to the bottom for me now.
- I entered training camp ready to plant the "Pistons make the
Play-In" flag, but I feel really uneasy about their switching
scheme. That, and the half-court offense is going to take some time
to come together. Next year, though!
Western
Conference
TOP SIX
- GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
- PHOENIX SUNS
- DENVER NUGGETS
- LA CLIPPERS
- MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
- DALLAS MAVERICKS
- An uptick of shooting from Curry, a healthier version of Klay
Thompson and growth from the youth should lead to bundles of
regular-season wins.
- Despite the ugly postseason ending and offseason hoopla, the
Suns have a formula (and talent, obviously) to churn out
regular-season wins. Let's not overreact.
- Early spoiler: I think the Clippers have the most talented
roster in the league. I think star maintenance and lineup tinkering
have them closer to No. 6 than No. 1 in the standings.
PLAY-IN TERRITORY
- MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES
- NEW ORLEANS PELICANS
- LA LAKERS
- PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS
- The Pels! They should be electric offensively. Defensively,
they have pieces I like — hello Mr. Jones, Jose Alvarado and Larry
Nance Jr. — but we'll see how they hold up as a unit.
- I have some real questions about the Lakers' shooting talent
and the Westbrook fit — and how long he'll even be there. There's
an obvious upside for more if things break right.
- It hasn't been from a lack of effort, but trying to build a
defense around a Damian Lillard-Anfernee Simons-Jusuf Nurkic core
is just a tough thing to do.
THE REST
- SACRAMENTO KINGS
- HOUSTON ROCKETS
- OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
- UTAH JAZZ
- SAN ANTONIO SPURS
- If the Fightin'
KZs Kings are able to defend well enough — and by that, I
mean, like 21st in Defensive Rating — don't be surprised if they
nab 10th. The offense should be good enough to make a push.
- The Rockets are a year of development (and roster
consolidation) away from making a Play-In push, I think.
Eastern Conference
Playoffs
PLAY-IN TOURNAMENT
Nets > Hawks for 7th.
Bulls > Knicks for 9th.
Hawks > Bulls for 8th.
- A sad end for the Bulls here, but this is
simply the strength of the conference. It'll be tremendous fun
watching Young try to create space against Alex Caruso or Ayo
Dosunmu at the point of attack.
FIRST ROUND
(1) Sixers > (8) Hawks in 5.
(4) Heat > (5) Cavs in 6.
(2) Celtics > (7) Nets in 7.
(3) Bucks > (6) Raptors in 6.
- With the Sixers adding to their defensive
personnel and the Hawks looking a little worse in the shooting
department, I think the chances of an(other) upset are pretty
slim.
- The Nets fare better the second time around against Brooklyn,
but I still don't think they have enough defenders to deal with
Boston. Should be the best series of the first round, though.
- Bucks-Raptors will be a slugfest; ultimately, I don't know if
the Raptors will have the half-court juice to pull things
out.
SECOND ROUND
(1) Sixers > (4) Heat in 6.
(3) Bucks > (2) Celtics in 7.
- A pair of second-round sequels with the results flipped!
Having Khris Middleton back — and a little more size, shooting and
playmaking with Joe Ingles — gives the Bucks the boost they need to
squeeze by. If Philly's healthy, I struggle to see Miami containing
all three of Embiid, Harden and Maxey.
EASTERN CONFERENCE FINALS
(3) Bucks > (1) Sixers in 6.
- Bucks steal home court in Game 1 and close the deal at home in
Game 6. They have the size to make Embiid think and a defender in
Holiday to either hound Maxey or absorb some of Harden's
strength-based drives.
Western Conference
Playoffs
PLAY-IN TOURNAMENT
Pelicans > Wolves for 7th.
Lakers > Blazers for 9th.
Wolves > Lakers for 8th.
- I went back and forth on the Lakers-Wolves game. Still don't
feel great about it, but I think the Wolves take care of business
at home.
FIRST ROUND
(1) Warriors > (8) Wolves in 4.
(4) Clippers > (5) Grizzlies in 6.
(3) Nuggets > (6) Mavericks in 6.
(2) Suns > (7) Pelicans in 6.
- Clippers-Grizzlies feels like Storm-Mystics
from this year's WNBA playoffs; there's no way one of these teams
should be knocked out of the first round. I'd worry about the
Grizzlies' half-court offense against LA's defense.
- Sign me up for all the half-court goodness
Luka and Jokic would provide. Denver's just better if they're
healthy.
- I wouldn't be shocked at the
Suns/Pelicans result being flipped, but I have too many questions
about New Orleans' defense right now to give them a series win.
SECOND ROUND
(4) Clippers > (1) Warriors in 6.
(3) Nuggets > (2) Suns in 7.
- Might be the most controversial pick on the
board, but I trust the Clippers' length and switchability to make
life a little difficult in the half-court. With Kahwi in the fold,
they should be able to mismatch hunt late and eke out a close
series.
- Deandre Ayton has defended Jokic well in the
past; I think the added/healthy firepower around him may make the
Nuggets' offense too much to deal with.
WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALS
(4) Clippers > (3) Nuggets in 6.
- A bubble rematch! Jokic likely wrecks havoc,
but I think the depth and shooting of the Clippers shine
through.