Expansion in the NBA is on the horizon, even though it’s a
subject that has been put on the back burner as of late. In three
years, the Association will be entering a new media-rights deal
that is expected to blow their current figures out of the water and
cause the salary cap to increase significantly. Could that be the
perfect time to add an expansion team or two?
When asked about the possibility of expanding the league last
season, NBA Commissioner Adam Silver insisted that it isn't
currently on the table.
“Maybe there are people talking who are not at the league office
about us potentially expanding after the 2024 season, [but] we are
not discussing that at this time,” Silver said this past season.
“As I said before, at some point this league will invariably
expand, but it’s not at this moment that we are discussing it.
We’ll be looking at it at some point, but there’s no specific
timeline right now.”
We're entering a new golden age of basketball, where talented
players can be found all around the world and teenage prospects
have more options than ever before. The NBA can afford to add an
expansion team in the near future, and they may even be able to
increase the league to 32 teams (like the NFL). There are enough
talented players to fill out these rosters.
Which cities make the most sense for
an NBA expansion team? Two cities immediately come to mind: Las
Vegas and Seattle. These cities have been rumored for years and are
the obvious choices.
Last month at NBA Summer League, Silver told Mick Akers of the Las Vegas
Review-Journal that the city could accommodate a team. Silver
also alluded to how much revenue Summer League brings into Vegas,
bringng in similar numbers as All-Star Weekend.
“All of our events, when we’re thinking about going to so-called
neutral markets, Las Vegas is always in a top group of cities we
can consider,” Silver told Akers. “You have incredible
hotels, entertainment outside of basketball and great facilities.
Without being specific as to the events, we’re always thinking of
Vegas as a possible destination.”
Silver has said that Las Vegas "has shown itself to be a great
sports market" and that when the league seriously explores
expansion, there is "no doubt Vegas will be on the list."
Las Vegas continues to explode, as many people are moving there
as full-time residents. Their sports teams have been surging too.
The Las Vegas Raiders successfully moved from Oakland to historic
fanfare, and the Vegas Golden Knights have had immense success in
the market as well. Now, the Oakland A’s are considering a move to
Sin City too.
Nevada governor Steve Sisolak believes that landing an NBA team
within the next five years is a real possibility. Earlier this
offseason, LeBron James let it be known on "The Shop"
that his goal is to own a team and bring it to Vegas.
"I wanna buy a team, for sure. I want a team in Vegas," James
said in June.
In addition to Las Vegas, Seattle continues to be at the
forefront of any potential expansion talks. We all know about the
Seattle SuperSonics' history, and the fact that the Sonics were
ripped away from the city is still disappointing to this day. Now,
there’s a ton of excitement around the NHL's Seattle Kraken and the
WNBA’s Seattle Storm, and Climate Pledge Arena is ready to host an
NBA team.
Paolo Banchero, the No. 1 pick in the 2022 NBA Draft, recently
talked about how his hometown is craving an NBA team on “All The
Smoke” with Stephen Jackson and Matt Barnes.
“I think it needs to happen, I think it should be mandatory. Not
just because I’m biased, but because it’d be a great look on the
NBA,” Banchero said. “It’s a great city, the fans there are crazy.
If you get a team in Seattle, they’ll automatically be a top… not
the top, but a top fanbase. Those games would be sold out
right away.”
It's very possible that NBA expansion could become a hot-button
topic in the near future.
How exactly does the NBA's expansion process work? Well, we have
a somewhat recent example to look back on, as the Charlotte Bobcats
were added to the league as an expansion team 18 years ago.
The most-recent NBA Expansion Draft took place on June 22, 2004,
and the Bobcats selected 19 players to construct a roster for their
inaugural season. Here were the main rules in place:
- Teams were allowed to protect eight players that the Bobcats
couldn't select.
- Only one unprotected player was allowed to be picked from each
team.
- Teams must have at least one unprotected player, even if they
don’t have eight players under contract.
- Restricted free agents drafted by the Bobcats would become
unrestricted free agents who could sign with Charlotte or any other
team.
- The Bobcats had to draft at least 14 players (and they could
select as many as 29).
- They weren't bound by the salary cap, but the contracts count
toward their cap after the draft.
- The Bobcats' salary cap was only two-thirds of the league's
salary cap (ex: expansion team can only spend upwards of
$81,609,000 on roster within current cap climate).
- Players who were drafted couldn't be reacquired by their former
team for one year.
Charlotte landed a future All-Star in their expansion draft,
selecting Gerald Wallace after the Sacramento Kings failed to
protect him.
If a similar draft happened now, which players would go
unprotected? What kind of squad could be built via a present-day
expansion draft? Let's find out!
This experiment will help determine whether there's enough
talent to fill out an extra NBA roster. Each team will protect
eight players from being selected. Here are the players we've
protected:
Atlanta Hawks: Trae Young, Dejounte Murray,
John Collins, De’Andre Hunter, Clint Capela, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen
Johnson
Boston Celtics: Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown,
Marcus Smart, Derrick White, Robert Williams, Malcolm Brogdon,
Grant Williams, Al Horford
Brooklyn Nets: Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving,
Seth Curry, Royce O’Neale, Cam Thomas, Ben Simmons, Nic Claxton,
Day’Ron Sharpe
Charlotte Hornets: LaMelo Ball, Miles
Bridges, James Bouknight, PJ Washington, Terry Rozier, Mark
Williams, Cody Martin, Kelly Oubre Jr.
Chicago Bulls: Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan,
Ayo Dosunmu, Lonzo Ball, Alex Caruso, Dalen Terry, Patrick
Williams, Nikola Vucevic
Cleveland Cavaliers: Darius Garland, Evan
Mobley, Jarrett Allen, Caris LeVert, Collin Sexton, Lauri
Markkannen, Isaac Okoro, Ochai Agbaji
Dallas Mavericks: Luka Doncic, Dorian
Finney-Smith, Spencer Dinwiddie, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green, Maxi
Kleber, Christian Wood, Jaden Hardy
Denver Nuggets: Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray,
Michael Porter Jr., Bones Hyland, Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown,
Christian Braun, Peyton Watson
Detroit Pistons: Cade Cunningham, Jaden
Ivey, Saddiq Bey, Jalen Duren, Isaiah Stewart, Marvin Bagley III,
Killian Hayes, Hamidou Diallo
Golden State Warriors: Stephen Curry, Klay
Thompson, Draymond Green, Jordan Poole, James Wiseman, Moses Moody,
Jonathan Kuminga, Andrew Wiggins
Houston Rockets: Jabari Smith, Jalen Green,
Kevin Porter Jr., Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Jae’Sean Tate, TyTy
Washington, Josh Christopher
Indiana Pacers: Tyrese Haliburton,
Bennedict Mathurin, Chris Duarte, Isaiah Jackson, Jalen Smith,
Andrew Nembhard, Oshae Brissett, Myles Turner
Los Angeles Clippers: Kawhi Leonard, Paul
George, Reggie Jackson, Terance Mann, Ivica Zubac, Luke Kennard,
Robert Covington, Amir Coffey
Los Angeles Lakers: LeBron James, Anthony
Davis, Lonnie Walker IV, Austin Reaves, Max Christie, Talen
Horton-Tucker, Thomas Bryant, Troy Brown Jr.
Memphis Grizzlies: Ja Morant, Desmond Bane,
Jaren Jackson Jr., Dillon Brooks, Brandon Clarke, Tyus Jones,
Ziaire Williams, Jake LaRavia
Miami Heat: Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo,
Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Max Strus, Kyle Lowry, Gabe Vincent,
Victor Oladipo
Milwaukee Bucks: Giannis Antetokounmpo,
Khris Middleton, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis, Pat Connaughton,
MarJon Beauchamp, Jordan Nwora, Grayson Allen
Minnesota Timberwolves: Karl-Anthony Towns,
Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, D’Angelo Russell,
Jaylen Nowell, Wendell Moore, Kyle Anderson
New Orleans Pelicans: Zion Williamson,
Brandon Ingram, CJ McCollum, Herb Jones, Jonas Valanciunas, Dyson
Daniels, Trey Murphy III, Jose Alvarado
New York Knicks: RJ Barrett, Jalen Brunson,
Julius Randle, Quentin Grimes, Isaiah Hartenstein, Immanuel
Quickley, Mitchell Robinson, Obi Toppin
Oklahoma City Thunder: Shai
Gilgeous-Alexander, Josh Giddey, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort,
Jalen Williams, Ousmane Dieng, Tre Mann, Kenrich Williams
Orlando Magic: Paolo Banchero, Cole
Anthony, Franz Wagner, Wendell Carter Jr., Jalen Suggs, Mo Bamba,
Caleb Houstan, Markelle Fultz
Philadelphia 76ers: Joel Embiid, James
Harden, Tyrese Maxey, PJ Tucker, De’Anthony Melton, Matisse
Thybulle, Tobias Harris
Phoenix Suns: Devin Booker, Chris Paul,
Mikal Bridges, Deandre Ayton, Cameron Johnson, Jae Crowder, Landry
Shamet, Dario Saric
Portland Trail Blazers: Damian Lillard,
Anfernee Simons, Jerami Grant, Josh Hart, Nassir Little, Shaedon
Sharpe, Gary Payton II, Jusuf Nurkic
Sacramento Kings: De’Aaron Fox, Domantas
Sabonis, Keegan Murray, Davion Mitchell, Kevin Huerter, Malik Monk,
Harrison Barnes, Chimezie Metu
San Antonio Spurs: Keldon Johnson, Devin
Vassell, Josh Primo, Malaki Branham, Jeremy Sochan, Blake Wesley,
Tre Jones, Jakob Poeltl
Toronto Raptors: Pascal Siakam, Scottie
Barnes, Fred VanVleet, OG Anunoby, Gary Trent Jr., Precious
Achiuwa, Christian Koloko
Utah Jazz: Donovan Mitchell, Jarred
Vanderbilt, Walker Kessler, Leandro Bolmaro, Bojan Bogdanovic,
Jordan Clarkson, Jared Butler, Simone Fontecchio
Washington Wizards: Bradley Beal, Kristaps
Porzingis, Deni Avdija, Johnny Davis, Daniel Gafford, Corey
Kispert, Kyle Kuzma, Rui Hachimura
That's 240 total players who were protected across the 30 NBA
teams.
Which players were left unprotected? Here's the talent pool that
the expansion team will be able to choose from:
Atlanta Hawks: Bogdan Bogdanovic, Aaron
Holiday, Justin Holiday, Maurice Harkless, Frank Kaminsky, Lou
Williams
Boston Celtics: JD Davison, Danilo
Gallinari, Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Noah Vonleh
Brooklyn Nets: Joe Harris, Patty Mills,
Edmond Sumner, T.J. Warren
Charlotte Hornets: Gordon Hayward, Kai
Jones, Cody Martin, Bryce McGowens, Mason Plumlee, Nick Richards,
JT Thor
Chicago Bulls: Tony Bradley, Goran
Dragic, Andre Drummond, Javonte Green, Derrick Jones Jr., Coby
White
Cleveland Cavaliers: Kevin Love, Moses
Brown, Cedi Osman, Ricky Rubio, Lamar Stevens, Dean Wade, Dylan
Windler
Dallas Mavericks: Davis Bertans, Tim
Hardaway Jr., JaVale McGee, Frank Ntilikina, Theo Pinson, Dwight
Powell
Denver Nuggets: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope,
Facundo Campazzo, Jeff Green, Zeke Nnaji, Ish Smith, Davon
Reed
Detroit Pistons: Alec Burks, Luka Garza,
Cory Joseph, Frank Jackson, Isaiah Livers, Nerlens Noel, Kelly
Olynyk, Kemba Walker
Golden State Warriors: Patrick Baldwin Jr.,
Donte DiVincenzo, Kevon Looney, Ryan Rollins
Houston Rockets: Usman Garuba, Eric Gordon,
Boban Marjanovic, Kenyon Martin Jr., Garrison Mathews, Daishen
Nix
Indiana Pacers: Aaron Nesmith, Buddy Hield,
Goga Bitadze, Kendall Brown, Terry Taylor, Daniel Theis
Los Angeles Clippers: Nicolas Batum, Robert
Covington, Luke Kennard, Marcus Morris Sr., Norman Powell, John
Wall, Ivica Zubac
Los Angeles Lakers: Russell Westbrook,
Wenyen Gabriel, Stanley Johnson, Damian Jones, Kendrick Nunn, Juan
Toscano-Anderson
Memphis Grizzlies: Steven Adams, Santi
Aldama, Kennedy Chandler, Danny Green, John Konchar, David Roddy,
Killian Tillie, Xavier Tillman
Miami Heat: Dewayne Dedmon, Haywood
Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Omer Yurtseven
Milwaukee Bucks: Thanasis Antetokounmpo,
Jevon Carter, George Hill, Brook Lopez, Sandro Mamukelashvili,
Wesley Matthews
Minnesota Timberwolves: Bryn Forbes, Jordan
McLaughlin, Josh Minott, Eric Paschall, Taurean Prince, Naz Reid,
Austin Rivers
New Orleans Pelicans: Devonte’ Graham,
Jaxson Hayes, Kira Lewis Jr., Naji Marshall, EJ Liddell, Larry
Nance Jr.
New York Knicks: Evan Fournier, Trevor
Keels, Miles McBride, Derrick Rose, Cam Reddish
Oklahoma City Thunder: Darius Bazley,
Derrick Favors, Ty Jerome, Mike Muscala, Aleksej Pokusevski,
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams
Orlando Magic: Bol Bol, R.J. Hampton, Gary
Harris, Jonathan Isaac, Chuma Okeke, Terence Ross, Moritz
Wagner
Philadelphia 76ers: Tobias Harris, Georges
Niang, Charles Bassey, Isaiah Joe, Furkan Korkmaz, Shake Milton,
Jaden Springer, Paul Reed
Phoenix Suns: Torrey Craig, Jock Landale,
Damion Lee, Josh Okogie, Cameron Payne, Ish Wainright, Duane
Washington Jr.
Portland Trail Blazers: Greg Brown, CJ
Elleby, Drew Eubanks, Keon Johnson, Ismael Kamagate, Gary Payton
II, Jabari Walker
Sacramento Kings: Terence Davis, Richaun
Holmes, Alex Len, Trey Lyles, KZ Okpala, Neemias Queta
San Antonio Spurs: Keita Bates-Diop, Zach
Collins, Gorgui Dieng, Romeo Langford, Doug McDermott, Josh
Richardson, Isaiah Roby, Joe Wieskamp, Robert Woodard II
Toronto Raptors: Dalano Banton, Khem Birch,
Armoni Brooks, Otto Porter Jr., Malachi Flynn, Juan Hernangomez,
Svi Mykhailiuk, Thaddeus Young
Utah Jazz: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Udoka
Azubuike, Malik Beasley, Patrick Beverley, Mike Conley, Rudy Gay,
Johnny Juzang
Washington Wizards: Will Barton, Vernon
Carey, Taj Gibson, Monte Morris, Delon Wright, Isaiah Todd
Using the same rules and cap restrictions that the Bobcats had
to follow, what is the best hypothetical expansion team that we can
build (with the restricted salary cap and long-term outlook in
mind)?
Expansion Draft Picks
(sorted by projected depth chart):
Point Guard: Ricky Rubio, Monte Morris, Payton
Pritchard
Seeing how Rubio has impacted teams in recent years — most
recently with the Cleveland Cavaliers and Phoenix Suns — he was a
must-have in the expansion draft. Rubio's calming presence and
overall playmaking chops make him a perfect piece for the starting
unit. Meanwhile, Morris and Pritchard provide some nice depth.
Hopefully, Pritchard takes the baton from Rubio and Morris as our
long-term answer down the road.
Shooting Guard: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Caleb Martin,
Garrison Mathews
KCP has proven to be a very versatile wing over the years, so it
made sense to add him out of all the intriguing veteran options. In
addition to spacing the floor, Caldwell-Pope will draw the toughest
defensive assignment each game. Snagging Martin away from Miami was
a huge win as well, because he checks nearly identical boxes to
KCP. Rounding out the position, the expansion squad needs a
bonafide perimeter threat, so why not add a cheap one in Mathews?
We're betting that he'll pick up right where he left off after his
resurgent campaign in Houston, especially if given ample minutes
within our rotation.
Small Forward: T.J. Warren, Otto Porter Jr., Cam
Reddish
Will Warren return to Orlando Bubble form upon his arrival?
Doubtful, especially with consecutive stress fractures causing him
to play four total games over the last two seasons. However, if
Warren checks out medically, there's no denying that he can score
the basketball. He'd have the green light to shoot in our
offense, so don't be stunned if Warren becomes the team's No. 1
option immediately. Porter is an ideal veteran wing to place upon
any roster, as he showed last year with the Golden State Warriors.
Porter is valuable insurance with Warren's checkered injury
history. And why not roll the dice on Reddish? His NBA transition
has been anything but smooth, but if the 22-year-old fits within
the system, this could pay huge dividends down the road.
Power Forward: Darius Bazley, Javonte Green, Isaiah
Livers
After developing with the Oklahoma City Thunder over the last
few years, Bazley is one of our top selections in the expansion
draft. Not only does Bazley have the necessary upside that we covet
long-term, the 22-year-old fits well within our short-term plan as
well. Immediately, Bazley will enter as a starter on the wing and
he'll have an opportunity to show what he's got. Behind him, I love
the addition of Green as a tough two-way presence who continues to
fly under the radar in Chicago. Livers is another young addition
who adds depth and two-way potential. (If you haven't already,
check out Spencer Davies' excellent
feature on Livers from last week).
Center: Kevon Looney, Larry Nance Jr., Naz Reid
Closing out the roster, we couldn't be happier with our
committee approach. Looney and Nance instantly become key pillars
to our expansion team and really blend together well for lineup
purposes. Who knows, maybe we even see some minutes where this duo
shares the court when opposing teams go big. Outside of our strong
center duo, we needed to add one more player who brings a different
overall flavor. Reid accomplishes exactly that with his blend of
offensive talents that can be utilized extremely well within
small-ball situations.
Conclusion
After looking at this roster, we'll let you be the judge: does
the NBA have enough talent to add an additional franchise (or two)?
What would your expansion team look like?
Perhaps the NBA could tweak their previous expansion-draft rules
just a bit (especially if the league adds two expansion teams). For
example, what if each team could only protect six players instead
eight? The hypothetical expansion roster would be even better and
might actually make a push for the play-in tournament, if
everything fell perfectly into place.
Right now, expansion isn't on the forefront of NBA
decision-makers' minds. With that said, it seems like a lock to
happen at some point in the future, and it's something to monitor
in the coming years.