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Everything you need to know ahead of Bucks-Hawks Game 5

Everything you need to know ahead of Bucks-Hawks Game 5

The Atlanta Hawks surprised a lot of people by winning Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals, 110-88. With Giannis Antetokounmpo officially ruled out, Milwaukee is currently a small favorite to win the series (-125) at DraftKings Sportsbook. 

Will Trae Young suit up? Can Khris Middleton step up tonight? Let’s take a look at who has the edge in Game 5 and find out the BetQL’s best bets for this playoff matchup. 

Game Preview

Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks (-2.5, 215)

The fifth-seeded Hawks are on the road as they travel to face the third-seeded Bucks in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Atlanta dominated Game 4 from the tip-off, even before Giannis got injured.

The Hawks shot the ball well, going 50.6% from the field, including 13-for-38 from three-point land. They also won the rebounding and turnover battles, which was huge.

Playing yet another game without their star guard is a tall task for this young Atlanta team, but there’s a good chance the Hawks will have to rally again, with Young listed as questionable and a game-time decision.

Bogdan Bogdanovic finally looked like his old-self in Game 4, scoring 20 points. Veteran scorer Lou Williams stepped up as well, contributing 21 points and 8 rebounds in Young’s place. If the Hawks want to steal tonight’s road game, they’ll need both of those veterans to go off offensively.

Middleton has played well for the Bucks this postseason, and he’s currently averaging 21.0 points, 7.8 rebounds and 6.0 assists per game in the series. But, he is going to get called upon to carry an even heavier load tonight since The Greek Freak is out. Milwaukee will need at least a 30-point outing from him if the team wants to win and cover tonight’s game. One matchup to watch is Middleton vs. Cam Reddish. The young Hawks swingman did a great job defending Middleton in Game 4.

The Bucks also had a putrid shooting game in their last outing. If they want to right the ship tonight, they will need to shoot closer to their season-long and postseason shooting averages. Milwaukee is tied for No. 9 in the league in field goal percentage, shooting 45.7% as a team in the playoffs. They rank 11th in threes per game, hitting 11.1 triples per contest, but are 14th in three-point shooting with just a 30.6% mark on their attempts from beyond the arc. The team as a whole will need to shoot better than it did in Game 4, where the Bucks shot just 39.3% from the floor and 20.5% from deep.

The public is split on this game, with both the tickets and money around 52% on the road team. When it comes to the total, bettors are expecting a low-scoring game, with 55% of the tickets on the under.
Last game, the Hawks had their backs against the wall and came out swinging. The BetQL team envisions the Bucks' tandem of Middleton and Jrue Holiday carrying them tonight, so the team is leaning toward the Bucks in this one.

Lean: Bucks -2.5 and Over 215

BetQL Model Predictions & Picks

BetQL’s NBA model has run 10,000 simulations of this game to provide insight on how the game will pan out, and after all those simulations, the model likes the Hawks +2.5. Currently, the point spread of this game sits at +/- 2.5 with the Hawks as road underdogs. BetQL’s model would have made Atlanta favorites tonight, meaning there is huge betting value on them at +2.5. Keep reading below to get picks from the experts at BetQL.   

Against The Spread Pick

The model is leaning towards the Hawks with a 5-star rating on the game, and projects the final score to be Hawks 109, Bucks 107. The expert bettors are backing the Hawks as of now, too, but be sure to check back with BetQL to see the most updated odds, lines, and spreads for this game before tip.

Over/Under Pick

The Over/Under for this game is set to 215 points. The BetQL model recommends taking the over for this game. We agree with the model’s 1-star play here.

If you want to check out BetQL’s over-under picks for the rest of the NBA Playoffs, make sure to check out their site for those picks. 

Prop Bet Spotlight

The BetQL computer model has identified a 3-star prop that the team likes for tonight’s matchup in Jrue Holiday recording UNDER 39.5 points, rebounds and assists total.

Pick: The BetQL team is backing the model and taking Holiday to go under his 39.5 PRA mark.

As a Basketball News reader you can get access to BetQL for 30% when you use the code BBN30, so check out BetQL and win the rest of your playoff bets.

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