There was a collective sigh among the NBA community on March 20.
In a season mired with frustration -- about injuries, about COVID,
about [insert reason here] -- we all looked for joy anywhere we
could find it.
You'd find plenty in Charlotte Hornets games. Miles Bridges
dunks; pull-up artistry from Devonte'
Graham and Terry Rozier; Eric Collins bringing kind-hearted
hysteria to your living rooms.
And there was the rookster LaMelo Ball, bringing it all together
with his blend of playmaking and shooting. So when he went down
with a wrist injury against the Los Angeles Clippers on March 20,
we didn't just lose a talented rookie. The Hornets didn't just
lose, conservatively, one of their top-four players. We lost a
bright spot in what has otherwise been a dim season.
There were questions to be asked about how the Hornets would
fare. Losing that much production from Ball would hurt; doing so
while also navigating absences from Gordon Hayward, Graham, and
Rozier at different points would present an even tougher
However, they were been able to hold their own, hovering around
.500 (10-11) to maintain their place in the Eastern Conference
playoff race. Now, Ball is back and the Hornets are in the play-in
tournament. Here's what they've been missing.
From a skill perspective, there isn't a pass that Ball can't
make. Corner skips with either hand. Pocket passes. Lobs.
Lay-downs. Overhead hooks -- in close quarters, or further out --
to either side of the floor. No-looks. Touchdown passes.
It's worth noting the slight-but-important difference between
being a great passer and a great playmaker. Decision making and
opportunity factor into the latter. It isn't enough to say he can
make every pass in the book; LaMelo -- by proxy of his
ball-handling, his size, his general IQ and his scoring gravity
(more on that a little later) -- has the right mix of tools to make
every pass in his bag available to him.
With each pass being an option he can cycle through at any time,
defenses are left helpless trying to decide what to take away. He
combines a versatile skill-set with well-beyond-his-years
processing speed to make himself one of the NBA's most dangerous
initiators. No "rookie" caveat needed.
It starts in transition, where he is able to map out the floor
before defenders can even begin to decide how to match-up on the
fly. LaMelo averages a shade under two assists in transition per
Synergy, a top-10 mark in the NBA. More impressively, his 78
transition assists places him 14th in the league -- tied with Ricky
Rubio, sandwiched between Kyle Lowry (79) and Draymond Green (76)
-- despite missing 21 games.
He can get the ball out early, playing his version of "Hot
Potato" when he senses an inkling of scoring potential.
If the long ball isn't available, LaMelo flies down court and
plays the numbers game. 4-on-3s are death; increase his odds --
4-on-2, 3-on-1, 2-on-1 -- and you might as well get ready to play
offense. He's too smart not to make the best play, and too cool not
to make it look sexy.
LaMelo's passing goodness is easier to access in transition, but
it's impressive (and important) that it also translates in
High-ball screens allow LaMelo to map things out near
half-court. He's beyond reading his defender or the big at this
point; he knows how to manipulate his man into screens, and has a
firm handle on how the big will react in the 2-on-1 dance.
LaMelo thinks a step ahead, reading the third defender instead.
If that guy cheats in to "tag" the roller, he's
going to fire a dart to the perimeter. Quickly.
If the tag doesn't come, then, well, it's fun time. You're
allowing LaMelo to toy with a big man on an island. It almost
doesn't matter how good you are at that point.
Please take the time to appreciate how layered that possession
is from LaMelo. He comes off the ball screen, then "snakes" to his
left to cut off his defender's recovery angle. That move puts
Derrick Favors in a 2-on-1. A hesi-and-go gives LaMelo a path to
the basket, drawing the attention of Favors. The literal second
Favors commits to the shot, LaMelo fits in a wrap-around to Bismack
LaMelo doesn't simply win in these situations; he makes defenses
lose. It's a subtle (yet important) distinction, one that separates
your secondary ball-handlers from primaries.
BUDDING SCORING GRAVITY
All of the passing ability in the world can be diminished if
teams know it's coming. Even players that lean pass-first have to
threaten defenses in some way. It can be downhill juice, it can be
pull-up shooting. Preferably it's both, but you have to have
For now, deep shooting is LaMelo's something. He's shooting
37.5% from three on solid volume (5.3 attempts) overall, though
it's important to note how effective he's been off the bounce.
His spot-up vs off-the-dribble split isn't that stark; you'll
take 39.8% on spot-ups, and you'll certainly take the 36.5% clip on
triples off the bounce.
He isn't flowing into forward-momentum shots as fluidly as your
Stephs or Dames, but he has laid the foundation of making "under"
coverage unplayable. His footwork (which was highly criticized
coming into the league) has gotten noticeably better. It's more
balanced, more consistent. The results are proof of a
still-improving process. Add in a willingness to dance against bigs
on an island and stepback, and you get a mix of possessions like
Very quitely, LaMelo was grading out as an elite isolation
threat (95th percentile, 1.19 PPP per Synergy) before the injury.
There are obvious caveats to that, the biggest being the lack of
high volume (57 possessions). He did look comfortable getting to
his jumper, particularly against bigs; his driving resume was more
of a mixed bag.
The next evolution of LaMelo's game will come as a driver. He
has the chops to bend defenses in pick-and-roll. His deeper paint
touches may not necessarily be a problem, but it
is the part of his game that currently lacks the most.
He's boasting a 77-of-150 (51.3%) clip at the rim in half-court
situations, placing him in the 32nd percentile, per Syngery. He's
been more effective on runners (45.6% on 57 attempts, 62nd
percentile, 0.91 PPP), though his footwork on those shots is a work
Let's dig in on the more traditional rim attempts, though.
There's a lack of high-level burst at the rim for LaMelo. That can
be alleviated some by his length and craft, but it's admittedly a
tough bet to win as a rookie.
He's predictably gone through growing pains trying to finish
through, around, and over NBA defenders. A lack of strength makes
it easier for defenders to dislodge him; there are some pretty
awkward flip shots in his early-season film.
But alas, the encouraging part is that LaMelo's ugliest
stretches come in his early-season film. He was learning.
Improving. Shockingly fast, I'd say. He started picking up
foul-drawing tricks almost on the fly. Those results may still be
mixed, but he's at least dictating the terms of engagement more
That 51.3% clip on half-court rim shots isn't great, nor is his
3.0 free throw attempts per game. Him converting north of 57% of
those same looks, and getting to the line 4.8 times (including
games with 6, 8, and 10 free throws) in the 10 games prior to his
injury? It's welcomed progress.
LaMelo is no lockdown defender. He doesn't possess elite lateral
quickness. Despite his size, he can be bullied on occasion. He's
very much growing into his body.
With that out of the way, it's hard not to argue that he's been
much better on that end than mostly anyone could've expected. Aside
from his physical limitations coming into the season, the rap on
LaMelo was that he flat-out didn't care on that end of the
Fortunately, effort hasn't been an issue for him. In fact, I'd
argue that he's established himself as a neutral defender off the
ball. That's a win for him.
The Hornets go a bit multiple in terms of their defense. They
switch a ton. Not only will they mix in zone; they'll transition
from zone, to man, back to zone, and end up in man within a matter
of seconds. It's a lot to navigate, but LaMelo hasn't looked
completely out of place.
The same floor-mapping that makes LaMelo a dangerous passer is
what allows him to succeed off the ball. He senses when to
dig-and-recover; he can feel a skip pass coming his way. He's quite
reactive in those scenarios, a pleasant surprise this early into
Those clips may be a bit boring -- I could've easily made a comp
of some pick-sixes he's had this season -- but those subtle
instances are what save or break a defense. Being able to put those
type of possessions together on a consistent basis matters a lot
more than the steals.
He still has work to do. There are instances of late help,
failed gambles, and a lack of physicality when tasked with being
the low-man. But on balance, getting back a 6-foot-6 guy with even
a basic understanding of how to use his arms is a positive
development for Charlotte.