The trade deadline is fast approaching and the Memphis Grizzlies
have to make an important decision.
Grizzlies general manager and executive vice president Zach
Kleiman has been doing his best Marvel impression by living in a
multiverse, attempting to walk out two timelines: contending and
developing.
The core of Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Desmond Bane is in
its third year together and, when healthy, is one of the top trios
in the entire NBA. More importantly, only Jackson is beyond his
rookie contract, as Morant and Bane are both still on rookie deals.
This fact has led to a polarizing debate surrounding the
Grizzlies.
When Memphis knocked the Golden State Warriors out of the first
NBA Play-In Tournament, everyone raved at the "ahead-of-schedule"
nature of this team. Last season, the team traded away Jonas
Valanciunas for Steven Adams and a shot at developing Ziaire
Williams and Santi Aldama. Kleiman was trying to develop ancillary
pieces while still putting a competitive product on the floor.
Morant and the Grizzlies surprised everyone, finishing with the
second-best record in the league and pushing the eventual-champion
Warriors to six games in arguably Golden State's toughest series
last year. The "ahead-of-schedule" Grizzlies were still given a
pass because they were young and overacheiving.
Memphis is still the second seed in the Western Conference
despite losing eight of their last nine contests. Injuries have
been a huge factor as Jackson (17 games), Bane (22), Adams (10) and
Morant (8) have all missed time due to injury. With the NBA trade
deadline on Thursday, the question is whether Kleiman will push the
chips in and go for a title piece this year or continue on his
multiverse timeline.
Re-signing Adams and Tyus Jones suggests Memphis is interested
in contending. Trading away De'Anthony Melton, who struggled
mightily in the postseason, suggests the same. Playing Ziaire
Williams, David Roddy and Jake LaRavia is the organization
attempting to sneak in development. It makes sense, as you have to
find the right role players on affordable deals (in this case,
rookie contracts) who can have winning impact around your big
three.
But even if it makes sense, there is also the flip side. At some
point, you are no longer ahead of schedule and overachieving. At
some point, the schedule and timeline eventually readjust to the
progress that has been made, and a new schedule begins. The
Grizzlies are no longer up-and-coming. They are here and the league
has adjusted, and so must Memphis.
There have been social-media posts circling that the Grizzlies
and New Orleans Pelicans both do not want their counterpart to land
O.G. Anunoby, and that Memphis would be a perfect fit for OG. This
Grizzlies front office has historically moved in silence, and
nothing suggests it will overpay in a bidding war for a player who
might move the needle toward a title.
Over the next few days, Kleiman will have to decide what is most
important for the franchise entrusted to his leadership. The
Grizzlies clearly need shooting (still) and perimeter defending —
two things every team is looking for at all times.
Morant, Bane and Jackson are non-starters in any trade
conversation (as they should be). They are a core that meshes
beautifully. It's the pieces surrounding them that Kleiman has to
be willing to part ways with.
One of the most polarizing players in the NBA is Dillon Brooks;
you either hate him or you love him. He is on an expiring contract,
with his days in Memphis possibly winding away. Brooks' antics on
the court and refusal to accept his spot in the pecking order
offensively at times have led many to wonder whether he is a
long-term fit with the Grizzlies.
With Bane due for a near-max payday, Brooks could be traded at
the deadline for assets or given the Kyle Anderson treatment, using
his contributions for this run and letting his deal expire at
season's end.
Then, there is Jones, who is often lauded as the best backup
point guard in the NBA and basically a health-insurance policy for
Morant. Memphis needs to send Tyus somewhere he can start and bring
in a bigger combo guard who can help Bane run the non-Morant
minutes.
Adams and Danny Green are the veterans on the roster who also
have extremely tradeable contracts if Kleiman were to do some type
of big-game hunting. Adams' presence has allowed Jackson to develop
into the Defensive Player of the Year candidate he has become, but
at some point, JJJ needs to become the full-time starting
5.
Williams and Xavier Tillman are pieces that Memphis should be
willing to include to upgrade their roster. And as well as Memphis
has done drafting the last few years, they should now be at the
point in this process where first-round picks are on the
table.
OUTLINING POTENTIAL TRADE IDEAS
I'm no trade-machine guru, but something along the lines of this
framework makes sense for both teams:
:filters:quality(95)/images/story/body/fanspo-nba-trade-machine-snap_2-6-2023_1-05-25pm.png)
Memphis gets to keep its primary defender in Brooks while adding
a 24-year-old scorer to come off the bench. If the Toronto Raptors
begin a fire sale, they get an expiring contract, two second-round
picks (Trent's reported projected
value) and a player who fits their mold of lenghty wings.
The Grizz bench unit is currently 12th in the NBA in scoring at
35.5 points per contest, but is a minus-313 in scoring for the
season. They are also 25th in three-point percentage (32.4%) in the
league. Adding Gary Trent Jr. could bolster a glaring weakness if
Memphis is to be a legitimate contender.
In the interest of getting assets in return for Brooks, Kleiman
would likely be choosing to remain on the course of developing
players, as Morant, Jackson and Bane are not yet in their primes.
Memphis can recoup cheaper, more controllable assets by moving
Dillon:
:filters:quality(95)/images/story/body/fanspo-nba-trade-machine-snap_2-7-2023_8-25-52am.png)
In this scenario, Memphis takes a shot on Cam Reddish while
finding the eventual Jones replacement in Immanuel Quickley. The
Knicks get a perfect-fit player to go with Jalen Brunson and Julius
Randle in Brooks as they attempt to make a run in the Eastern
Conference this postseason, plus a lottery-protected first-rounder
from the Grizzlies via the Warriors (from the Andre Iguodala trade
in July 2019.)
Speaking of replacing Jones, Grizzlies head coach Taylor Jenkins
could use a defensive upgrade in the backcourt as well someone with
a little more size:
:filters:quality(95)/images/story/body/fanspo-nba-trade-machine-snap_2-7-2023_8-55-00am.png)
The Chicago Bulls are at a crossroads, and if they decide to
start rebuilding the makeup of their roster, bringing in Jones as
their starting point guard would not be the worst idea. The
Grizzlies get two combo guards in Alex Caruso and Coby White in
this trade framework.
White is playing the least amount of minutes of his career this
season, and could afford a change of scenery. Caruso is a perfect
fit for Memphis, as an athletic guard who can defend on the
perimeter. This move also fits Kleiman's desire to flirt with two
timelines.
These three trades could be a sequence of moves done at once,
but there's a next-to-zero chance Memphis makes multiple moves at
the deadline, if any. However, there are peripheral moves to be
made for Memphis because it seems clear that standing pat and
riding it out is no longer the right choice for this
franchise.