The 2021 NBA Playoffs have finally arrived! With the postseason comes a larger serving of bets, and our NBA contributors have provided two of their favorite ways to attack valuable series prices.
Four matchups start on Saturday, while the remaining series get underway on Sunday.
Here are the top NBA-series plays from the BetQL NBA betting experts:
Reed Wallach: Denver Nuggets +100 vs. Portland Trail Blazers (BetMGM)
This price confuses me. I understand that the Blazers won 10 of their last 12 games, while the Nuggets are missing Jamal Murray and some other key players due to injuries, but the odds here are too short to not play.
Nikola Jokic is the MVP of the league and the Blazers have issues with their interior defense. While going 7-2 in the month of May, Portland still had the 19th-best defense on a points-per-100-possessions basis, per Cleaning the Glass.
Portland has been paced by outlier shooting performances of late, posting a near 60% effective field goal percentage. However, the Nuggets are going to be able to match that offensive output with Jokic operating at such a high level. When the big man is on the floor, the Nuggets are in the 98th percentile on the offensive end this season.
Nobody in the league can guard The Joker, but the Blazers are particularly thin up front with Jusuf Nurkic and Enes Kanter playing center.
Yes, Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum will get their buckets, exploiting the loss of Murray, but the rest of Denver’s team has stepped up on both ends. Since Murray’s injury, the Nuggets are top-10 in both offensive and defensive efficiency, proving they are a complete team.
With a pronounced home-court advantage in the Denver altitude and the league’s MVP leading the way, there is a ton of betting value on the Nuggets at plus money.
If you aren’t ready to bet this full series but want to bet on a game-by-game basis, check out the BetQL best bets for this series. Every game-day, you can see which way BetQL’s model is betting on the games.