Nothing But Bets: NBA Projections for 11/26/21

“Nothing But Bets” returns after Thanksgiving to provide the betting edge on NBA action. So far this season, we are carrying a 145-114-3 record (56.3%).

As always, our odds are provided by TwinSpires Sportsbook and over/under power play prop bets are provided by PrizePicks.

It’s hammering time!

Orlando Magic vs. Chicago Bulls (-9.5)

This is a huge spread on the road in favor of Chicago, but the Bulls are going to be a frustrated group after an embarrassing loss in Houston. Expect the Bulls to come out firing on all cylinders, not taking it easy once again against an inferior opponent. The Bulls should dominate from opening tip-off, which would lead to a huge double-digit victory on the road in Orlando. Tail me on this fun over/under power play on PrizePicks: Zach LaVine over 24.5 points, DeMar DeRozan over 23.5 points, Jalen Suggs over 13.5 points, Mo Bamba over 9.5 rebounds.

Charlotte Hornets (-2.5) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

I’m all-in on the Hornets being a playoff team in the Eastern Conference this season, especially with the way LaMelo Ball is playing recently. The Hornets’ offense is so entertaining to watch, but their defense tends to give games away. In what should be one of the most fun games during Friday’s massive 12-game slate, I’m rolling with the home team in Charlotte. LaMelo puts together another big outing to propel the Hornets over another exciting team in the Timberwolves. On PrizePicks, I’m going heavy on the over point totals: Karl-Anthony Towns over 22.5 points, Anthony Edwards over 22.5 points, Ball over 20.5 points, Terry Rozier over 17.5 points.

New York Knicks vs. Phoenix Suns (-3.5)

This Suns team is special, folks. Going for their 15th straight win, it’s hard to see how it doesn’t happen under the bright lights of Madison Square Garden. Devin Booker is averaging over 30 points per game in New York, which doesn’t bode well for the Knicks to halt Phoenix’s incredible streak. Hammer the surging Suns to win outright and cover the 3.5-point spread behind another monster outing from their 25-year-old superstar. On PrizePicks, here’s what I’m locking in: Booker over 22.5 points, Julius Randle over 19.5 points, Chris Paul over 13.5 points.

Memphis Grizzlies (-1) vs. Atlanta Hawks

This smells like an upset special tonight in Memphis. Although the Grizzlies are favored, it’s hard to envision how their maddeningly inconsistent defense can contain Trae Young on any level. We’re going against the grain here and taking the underdog Hawks to win outright on the road. Behind a big performance from Young and John Collins, Atlanta gets it done to add an impressive win to its early-season resume. On PrizePicks, here’s what I’m submitting for another eye-opening power play: Young over 24.5 points, Ja Morant over 23.5 points, Clint Capela over 11.5 rebounds.

Indiana Pacers (-4) vs. Toronto Raptors

With Toronto missing OG Anunoby, I love Indiana to win and cover the 4-point spread in this spot. The Pacers continue to be one of the most confusing teams to figure out, but they match up well here against the Raptors. Chris Duarte continues to be a long-term revelation for the Pacers’ future, plus Malcolm Brogdon is embracing the No. 1 scoring role. At home, I’m locking in the Pacers over Toronto. On PrizePicks, here’s what I’m rolling with for a fun game in Indy: Malcolm Brogdon over 18.5 points, Pascal Siakam over 17.5 points, Domantas Sabonis over 15.5 points, Scottie Barnes over 12.5 points.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Washington Wizards (-7.5)

We continue to hammer the underdog Thunder, and they continue paying huge dividends. Again, we’re jump on that train and projecting OKC to cover the 7.5-point spread as home underdogs against the Wizards. Although the Thunder are without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the pro-Thunder movement isn’t stopping here on “Nothing But Bets.” Tail me on this over/under power play on PrizePicks: Bradley Beal over 23.5 points, Luguentz Dort over 17.5 points, Spencer Dinwiddie over 13.5 points, Josh Giddey over 6.5 rebounds.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Boston Celtics (-4.5)

Until proven otherwise, another solid strategy that’s paid off for “Nothing But Bets” listeners has been betting against the Spurs almost every game. Recently, San Antonio has been struggling to stay consistent. Going up against Boston, who has Jaylen Brown now back in the starting lineup, it could turn into a blowout victory for the Celtics. That’s my forecast for this game — a huge outing from the Celtics’ one-two punch of Jayson Tatum and Brown helps them cruise to an easy victory in the Alamo. On PrizePicks, to no one's surprise, we’re going over on points: Tatum over 26.5 points, Brown over 19.5 points, Dejounte Murray over 7.5 rebounds.

Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks (-3.5)

The Bucks are finally finding a groove after a rough start, but a lot of it can be traced to injury or COVID issues. Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton are back in the lineup for Milwaukee, once again thriving alongside Giannis Antetokounmpo. With the Nuggets so shorthanded in this matchup, this is another outing where the road team could roll to a double-digit victory. I think we’re getting a bunch of value at Bucks -3.5, so we’re hammering that line and the following power play on PrizePicks: Giannis over 24.5 points, Middleton over 15.5 points.

Utah Jazz (-13.5) vs. New Orleans Pelicans

Chet Holmgren or Paolo Banchero, the top-two projected picks on BasketballNews.com's 2022 NBA Draft Big Board, should be looking for houses in New Orleans right now. The Pelicans are well on their way to another top finish in the lottery, which is the exact opposite of what they had hoped for this season. Zion Williamson continues to miss time, and the rotation just isn’t working right now. Wholesale changes should be on the horizon for the Pelicans, and this game is going to get ugly in Salt Lake City. Even with the massive spread, I’m still rolling with the Jazz to cover. On PrizePicks, this is a strong power play option: Donovan Mitchell over 23.5 points, Brandon Ingram over 19.5 points, Rudy Gobert over 13.5 rebounds, Jonas Valanciunas over 10.5 rebounds.

Golden State Warriors (-6) vs. Portland Trail Blazers

Don’t bet against the Warriors until proven otherwise, please. Stephen Curry is the MVP favorite, and the Warriors look unstoppable right now. This is vintage Golden State basketball we’re watching right now, which is only going to get better once Klay Thompson officially returns next month. At home, there’s no way I’m betting against the Warriors. Lock in the Warriors -6, plus the following power play on PrizePicks: Curry over 28.5 points, Damian Lillard over 25.5 points, CJ McCollum over 20.5 points, Draymond Green over 7.5 assists.

Los Angeles Lakers (-7) vs. Sacramento Kings

LeBron James is back for the Lakers, which is bad news for the Kings tonight. LeBron helped the Lakers claw back to an impressive overtime win on the road in Indiana earlier this week, which could act as a huge momentum-booster for them. Expect the good vibes for the Lakers to continue on as they easily cover the 7-point spread versus Sacramento. On PrizePicks, I’m locking in an all-points power play: LeBron over 22.5 points, Anthony Davis over 22.5 points, De’Aaron Fox over 20.5 points, Tyrese Haliburton over 12.5 points.

Recapping our picks against the spread for “Nothing But Bets,” here’s what is being lock in for Friday’s slate: Bulls -9.5, Hornets -2.5, Suns -3.5, Hawks +1, Pacers -4, Thunder +7.5, Celtics -4.5, Bucks -3.5, Jazz -13.5, Warriors -6, Lakers -7.

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