Nothing But Bets: NBA Projections for 11/13/21
Who’s ready for some weekend hoops in the NBA? “Nothing But Bets,” our daily NBA betting show on the BasketballNews.com podcast network, gets you ready with picks against the spread plus power play over/under props.
As always, our odds are provided by TwinSpires Sportsbook and over/under prop bets are provided by PrizePicks. So far this season, “Nothing But Bets” is carrying an 96-73-2 record (56.7%).
It’s hammering time!
Utah Jazz (-7) vs. Miami Heat
Likely without Jimmy Butler once again (due to a sprained ankle suffered earlier this week against the Los Angeles Lakers), traveling to Utah is a tough matchu for the Heat. Bam Adebayo vs. Rudy Gobert is going to be a slobberknocker inside, but anywho will be able to contain Donovan Mitchell on the perimeter for Miami? That’s where the tide turns, and why we’re hammering Utah to cover the 7-point spread at home. The Heat are also coming off two draining games in Los Angeles, so fatigue could certainly be a factor. Lock in and tail me on this over/under power play on PrizePicks: Mitchell over 26.5 points, Gobert over 13.5 rebounds, Gobert over 12.5 points, Kyle Lowry over 6.5 assists.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Memphis Grizzlies (-4)
What a disappointing start for the Pelicans this season. There's been no Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram due to injuries, but this feels like total rock bottom in the Bayou right now. With Williamson still having no timetable to return, when will the Pelicans ever escape the abyss? I don’t see it coming anytime soon, and especially not against the high-powered Grizzlies offense led by Ja Morant. Expect Morant to go off as Memphis cruises to a victory. We’re locking in a Grizzlies-centric prop on PrizePicks: Morant over 23.5 points, Jaren Jackson Jr. over 14.5 points, Morant over 7.5 assists, Morant over 5.5 rebounds.
Indiana Pacers (-3.5) vs. Philadelphia 76ers
This line has moved up even more in favor of Indiana over the last 24 hours. What opened as a 2-point spread has now almost doubled towards the Pacers. After Indiana’s rollercoaster back-to-back against Denver and Utah, they are so hard to gauge. However, Philadelphia being without Joel Embiid against Indy’s jumbo-sized frontcourt is going to lead to some serious issues inside. For that reason, hammer Indiana to cover the spread and tail the following over/under props: Malcolm Brogdon over 20.5 points, Chris Duarte over 12.5 points, Domantas Sabonis over 10.5 rebounds, Myles Turner over 7 rebounds, Turner over 1.5 threes.
Orlando Magic vs. Washington Wizards (-4.5)
We haven’t pulled the trigger all season long, I believe, so we’re doing it right now. It’s time to roll the dice on the Magic. Bradley Beal is missing tonight’s game, so this is a golden opportunity for the young Magic rotation to step up to the plate and pull off an upset. Washington still has a solid group of veterans, but I have a sneaky feeling we see Orlando cover and potentially win outright tonight. This is my upset special for Saturday’s slate with Orlando at +4.5 and a Magic-heavy power play on PrizePicks: Cole Anthony over 18.5 points, Mo Bamba over 10.5 points, Bamba over 8.5 rebounds, Spencer Dinwiddie over 7 assists, Anthony over 4.5 assists.
Toronto Raptors (-9.5) vs. Detroit Pistons
Talk about a spread moving rapidly — this is a perfect example. Toronto opened as a 7.5-point favorite, and now it’s climbed up to full points closing in on a double-digit result. We’re locking in the Raptors at -9.5 while we can, because it wouldn’t be shocking to see this one close over 10. The Raptors are hosting the Pistons, who are on the second night of a back-to-back after getting destroyed in Cleveland. I expect a similar result to go down north of the border as the Raptors cruise easily to a win. No surprise, but we’re going all-in on the Raptors over/under props to secure a massive payday: Fred VanVleet over 17.5 points, Scottie Barnes over 12.5 points, Barnes over 7.5 rebounds, VanVleet over 2.5 threes.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Boston Celtics (-2)
This spread surprised me when I pulled it up on TwinSpires earlier today. Why exactly are the Celtics favored in Cleveland against the Cavaliers? Thanks Vegas, because we’re hammering the underdog in this scenario. Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen and Darius Garland have made up such an awesome trio for the Cavaliers so far this season, and I expect them to do some damage against Boston’s inconsistent defense. Also, the Allen/Mobley frontcourt should deter driving lanes, making the Celtics very perimeter-oriented throughout. I’m easily picking the upstart Cavaliers here, who continue to be one of the NBA’s best surprise stories. On PrizePicks, we’re rolling with the following over/under power play: Jayson Tatum over 26.5 points, Mobley over 15.5 points, Allen over 13.5 points, Allen over 11.5 rebounds, Mobley over 0.5 threes.
Los Angeles Clippers (-7) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is coming off such an impressive win last night against the Lakers, but now the team faces off with the Clippers, who seem to have the Wolves' number this season. In two previous matchups back in Minnesota, the Clippers won both times with relative ease. This time around, I see a similar result occurring, as a letdown could be in store for the Timberwolves. Lock-in the Clippers to cover the 7-point spread, but expect to see a fun back-and-forth high-scoring affair throughout this late-night matchup. On PrizePicks, tail me on Paul George and Karl-Anthony Towns winning us some dough: George over 26.5 points, Towns over 22.5 points, George over 5.5 assists, Towns over 2.5 threes.
Recapping our picks on “Nothing But Bets,” here’s who I’m rolling with for Saturday’s slate: Jazz -7, Grizzlies -4, Pacers -3.5, Magic +4.5, Raptors -9.5, Cavaliers +2, Clippers -7.
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